MATHEMATICAL
PROBABILITY
OF INVESTMENT RESULTS
Past
performance isn’t a guarantee of future results. Using average rates
of return, while helpful, doesn’t accurately reflect how investments
perform. A sequence of returns (fluctuating rate) may produce an average
rate of return. However, a different sequence of returns may produce
the same average return with a different result. Since you need certain
amounts of money in the future to achieve your goals, you should realize
that using average rates of return, even based on historical values,
may lead to disappointing results. To be as precise as possible, we
offer as a service Monte Carlo Simulation. This analysis runs hundreds
of thousands of random return scenarios to calculate the mathematical
probability of achieving specific results. Utilizing this method,
while still providing no guarantee, is a more prudent way of understanding
future possibilities and results.
Is this service
of interest to you?
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